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Red3
24774.6
23486.6
37210.2
Blue71
244513.6
243810.0
209017.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331020406080371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2348
#12
6.60.7
7.97.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
17.42.1
13.916.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2477
#25
4.60.7
5.75.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
13.63.3
9.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3721
#11
0.21.0
2.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
2438
#20
10.03.1
5.08.1
Auto
Teleop
End