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Qual 512011 Hawaii Regional sponsored by BAE Systems
Red2
24774.6
36850.5
38826.2
Blue1
37210.2
24412.4
38805.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91102030405021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#33
6.20.5
2.8→2.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.5
3880
#16
5.70.6
5.8→5.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2477
#25
4.60.3
5.0→4.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.2
2441
#24
2.40.6
3.1→2.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3685
#10
0.50.5
1.0→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.3
3721
#11
0.20.7
1.5→0.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—