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Red3
30080.7
23486.6
33065.5
Blue6
38793.4
31322.9
38780.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1760103040506036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2348
#12
6.60.6
7.36.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
3879
#17
3.40.1
3.43.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3306
#14
5.51.0
6.85.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
3132
#22
2.90.1
3.63.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3008
#23
0.70.9
1.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3878
#32
0.30.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End