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Red24
38793.4
24412.4
24435.3
Blue38
243925.7
38374.9
244513.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions720030405060702438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#19
5.31.3
4.35.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.5
25.71.1
11.712.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3879
#17
3.41.3
2.13.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
13.61.7
3.55.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2441
#24
2.41.3
2.23.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
3837
#18
4.91.7
2.44.1
Auto
Teleop
End