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Quarterfinal 4-12011 Midwest Regional
Red106
162538.8
282631.5
13679.6
Blue33
20228.0
241029.5
233821.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7858204010012014016010633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#4
38.80.5
37.2→37.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.4
2410
#18
29.50.5
30.1→29.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2826
#20
31.50.5
29.9→30.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.2
2338
#9
21.30.6
22.1→21.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1367
#46
9.60.7
7.4→8.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.6
2022
#40
8.00.5
8.6→8.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—