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Qual 192011 Midwest Regional
Red0
17392.5
10916.6
28031.4
Blue35
319713.7
233821.3
30679.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731020406080035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1091
#43
6.60.5
6.3→5.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 14.7
2338
#9
21.30.7
9.1→9.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1739
#36Sur
2.50.7
1.5→0.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.2
3197
#16Sur
13.70.4
12.6→13.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2803
#48
1.40.9
3.0→2.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.0
3067
#25
9.30.7
5.3→6.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—