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Red93
167520.3
17392.5
13524.8
Blue15
36127.5
27091.4
241029.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35350204060809315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#14
24.82.9
16.719.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
2410
#18
29.51.0
25.624.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1675
#15
20.32.9
17.920.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
3612
#24
7.51.7
7.45.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1739
#36
2.52.9
0.53.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2709
#44
1.41.7
2.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End