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Qual 42011 Midwest Regional
Red54
319713.7
219416.2
167520.3
Blue38
235825.7
30679.3
198721.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3920060801005438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#15
20.31.1
18.9→20.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.4
2358
#19
25.71.3
9.4→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2194
#10
16.21.1
4.7→5.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.2
1987
#3
21.31.3
8.3→9.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3197
#16
13.71.2
12.6→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.4
3067
#25
9.31.3
5.0→6.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—