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Qual 422011 Midwest Regional
Red80
11159.4
21517.0
211513.4
Blue108
11846.1
349414.5
173234.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718320406010012014016080108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#1
59.40.4
55.9→56.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.3
118
#2
46.11.4
43.6→45.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2115
#27
13.40.6
13.5→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 20.9
1732
#5
34.41.4
31.7→33.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2151
#22
7.00.6
3.1→3.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.5
3494
#21
14.52.3
5.5→7.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—