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Qual 452011 Midwest Regional
Red20
13524.8
13679.6
27816.3
Blue21
36952.8
204119.4
4515.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31320204060801001201402021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#14
24.80.5
19.6→19.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.3
2041
#11
19.40.5
18.2→17.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1367
#46
9.60.9
1.1→0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.4
45
#12
15.00.5
13.1→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2781
#39
6.30.9
10.1→9.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.5
3695
#30
2.80.9
0.7→-0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—