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Qual 532011 Midwest Regional
Red17
37798.5
30615.4
4515.0
Blue31
2462-0.5
319713.7
198721.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233204060801731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#12
15.00.4
12.5→12.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.3
1987
#3
21.30.0
19.0→19.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3779
#13
8.50.6
5.6→5.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.2
3197
#16
13.70.0
11.0→11.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3061
#37
5.40.6
6.2→5.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.9
2462
#31
-0.50.0
0.8→0.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—