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Qual 72011 Midwest Regional
Red9
33529.3
13679.6
10112.9
Blue59
10916.6
36127.5
173234.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15400206080100959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101
#23
12.90.8
7.1→6.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 21.4
1732
#5
34.41.4
27.2→28.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1367
#46
9.60.8
4.2→3.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.1
3612
#24
7.58.1
13.2→5.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3352
#41
9.30.8
7.4→6.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.7
1091
#43
6.61.4
5.5→7.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—