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Qual 752011 Midwest Regional
Red104
162538.8
36466.0
241029.5
Blue89
282631.5
319713.7
349414.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7043020608010012014010489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#4
38.81.9
35.2→37.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.3
2826
#20
31.52.1
27.9→30.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2410
#18
29.51.9
27.6→29.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.0
3494
#21
14.53.0
8.3→11.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3646
#32
6.02.9
3.2→6.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.8
3197
#16
13.72.1
10.7→12.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—