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Qual 772011 Midwest Regional
Red15
167520.3
31352.3
37798.5
Blue2
36127.5
21517.0
34161.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions401606080100152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#15
20.31.0
22.2→21.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.8
3612
#24
7.51.2
8.7→7.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3779
#13
8.51.4
9.9→8.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.5
2151
#22
7.01.2
8.2→7.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3135
#29
2.31.5
3.8→2.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.7
3416
#35
1.61.3
2.9→1.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—