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Red63
86815.7
38654.0
15553.5
Blue23
17479.5
27834.3
21717.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1419010304050606323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#34
15.72.7
11.614.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1747
#17
9.50.4
7.68.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3865
#10
4.04.0
1.25.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
2171
#32
7.40.4
6.16.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1555
#38
3.54.0
1.75.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2783
#39
4.30.4
4.65.0
Auto
Teleop
End