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Red29
172014.1
38144.9
32723.8
Blue37
31764.3
164611.6
27834.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10180203040502937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1720
#13
14.11.5
5.77.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1646
#18
11.61.7
3.85.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3814
#40
4.91.5
1.83.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
4.31.7
7.69.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3272
#31
3.81.5
3.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2783
#39
4.31.7
5.06.7
Auto
Teleop
End