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Red1
10006.7
45110.9
164611.6
Blue36
3301-0.3
318614.3
150126.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2425010203040506070136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
#18
11.61.9
5.53.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.9
26.51.0
16.217.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
451
#24
10.91.9
7.35.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
3186
#19
14.31.0
6.37.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1000
#30
6.71.9
11.69.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
3301
#22
-0.31.0
1.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End