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Red0
102418.6
35654.0
164611.6
Blue5
15553.5
31764.3
10006.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19200103040506005

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#15
18.61.7
11.39.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
1000
#30
6.71.2
8.57.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1646
#18
11.61.7
6.04.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
4.31.2
7.96.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3565
#36
4.02.5
4.01.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1555
#38
3.51.2
2.91.7
Auto
Teleop
End