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Red12
35598.9
318614.3
31764.3
Blue1
17479.5
21977.8
4618.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31321020405060121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3186
#19
14.31.3
11.710.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1747
#17
9.52.4
11.18.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3559
#14
8.91.4
12.811.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
461
#27
8.52.1
10.38.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4.31.3
6.55.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
2197
#35
7.82.6
10.88.2
Auto
Teleop
End