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Red30
10006.7
86815.7
3259-2.0
Blue33
458.6
17416.5
32723.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2010030405060703033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#34
15.70.6
14.014.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
45
#21
8.61.5
6.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1000
#30
6.70.9
6.97.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
6.51.5
5.46.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3259
#41
-2.00.8
-2.8-2.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
3272
#31
3.81.7
0.21.9
Auto
Teleop
End