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Red130
101823.3
111457.1
39938.0
Blue80
82920.7
233743.9
164022.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119955015020013080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
Unranked
57.10.8
58.759.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
2337
Unranked
43.90.9
47.246.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
399
Unranked
38.00.8
37.037.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
1640
Unranked
22.30.9
28.327.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1018
Unranked
23.30.8
19.119.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
829
Unranked
20.70.9
23.022.1
Auto
Teleop
End