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Red138
35940.7
93126.6
6742.4
Blue105
167522.1
205652.8
5133.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110120050150200250300350138105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
Unranked
42.41.3
44.145.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
2056
Unranked
52.80.7
56.455.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
359
Unranked
40.71.3
40.341.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
51
Unranked
33.20.7
37.536.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
931
Unranked
26.61.3
27.328.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
1675
Unranked
22.10.7
24.824.1
Auto
Teleop
End