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Red110
212240.9
23342.8
13527.3
Blue107
44713.8
57338.9
11842.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1199350150200110107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
Unranked
42.80.3
43.943.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
118
Unranked
42.70.5
44.645.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2122
Unranked
40.90.3
40.840.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
573
Unranked
38.90.5
39.439.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
135
Unranked
27.30.3
30.630.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
447
Unranked
13.80.5
13.113.6
Auto
Teleop
End