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Red85
13527.3
7436.2
11149.0
Blue118
153841.1
6742.4
167522.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321125010015020085118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
Unranked
49.02.2
53.751.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
67
Unranked
42.40.2
45.545.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
74
Unranked
36.22.2
44.942.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
1538
Unranked
41.10.2
45.345.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
135
Unranked
27.32.2
30.428.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
1675
Unranked
22.10.2
24.124.3
Auto
Teleop
End