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Red104
44713.8
241538.6
78141.1
Blue124
208128.8
205652.8
101823.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011006080120140104124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
Unranked
41.10.2
42.542.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
2056
Unranked
52.81.1
53.454.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2415
Unranked
38.60.2
43.543.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
2081
Unranked
28.81.1
28.329.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
447
Unranked
13.80.2
13.914.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
1018
Unranked
23.31.1
19.320.5
Auto
Teleop
End