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Red131
309833.3
23446.7
23342.8
Blue91
21746.3
4514.4
103823.9
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1417905010020013191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
Unranked
46.70.0
50.350.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
217
Unranked
46.30.1
50.150.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
233
Unranked
42.80.0
44.444.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.9
1038
Unranked
23.90.1
23.924.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3098
Unranked
33.30.0
36.436.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.9
45
Unranked
14.40.1
14.814.9
Auto
Teleop
End