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Red56
13527.3
171836.9
309833.3
Blue103
1644.2
33044.5
190218.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105105608010012014056103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
Unranked
36.92.4
38.636.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
330
Unranked
44.50.2
43.443.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3098
Unranked
33.32.4
36.434.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
16
Unranked
44.20.2
44.744.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
135
Unranked
27.32.4
29.026.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
1902
Unranked
18.10.2
18.318.1
Auto
Teleop
End