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Red123
147735.8
101823.3
171836.9
Blue115
174712.1
30327.8
23342.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9472020406080120140160123115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
Unranked
36.91.6
36.037.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
233
Unranked
42.82.0
44.146.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1477
Unranked
35.81.6
33.535.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
303
Unranked
27.82.0
22.624.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1018
Unranked
23.31.6
21.022.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
1747
Unranked
12.12.0
8.210.2
Auto
Teleop
End