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Red95
174712.1
24536.4
150337.8
Blue110
13527.3
313835.3
49435.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8310005015020095110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1503
Unranked
37.80.5
38.438.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3138
Unranked
35.30.6
37.137.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
245
Unranked
36.40.5
37.037.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
494
Unranked
35.20.6
34.134.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1747
Unranked
12.10.5
10.210.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.2
135
Unranked
27.30.6
26.627.3
Auto
Teleop
End