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Red126
173042.0
103823.9
153841.1
Blue128
30327.8
150125.8
78141.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11285050100150200126128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
Unranked
42.00.9
42.843.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
781
Unranked
41.11.9
39.341.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1538
Unranked
41.10.9
42.543.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
303
Unranked
27.81.9
24.626.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1038
Unranked
23.90.9
22.823.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1501
Unranked
25.81.9
25.127.1
Auto
Teleop
End