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Red130
190218.1
98751.0
11149.0
Blue125
46943.6
173229.3
205652.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120135050100150200250130125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
Unranked
51.00.4
52.352.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
2056
Unranked
52.80.4
56.055.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
111
Unranked
49.00.4
51.852.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
469
Unranked
43.60.4
46.045.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1902
Unranked
18.10.4
18.418.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
1732
Unranked
29.30.4
30.530.1
Auto
Teleop
End