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Red105
97329.5
78141.1
171836.9
Blue100
86813.2
111457.1
13527.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11197050150200105100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
Unranked
41.10.2
41.241.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.0
1114
Unranked
57.10.0
58.658.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1718
Unranked
36.90.2
37.136.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
135
Unranked
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
973
Unranked
29.50.2
30.230.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
868
Unranked
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto
Teleop
End