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Red114
101823.3
153841.1
49435.2
Blue74
173229.3
91026.2
5133.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1068905015011474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
Unranked
41.10.6
43.443.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
51
Unranked
33.20.9
34.033.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
494
Unranked
35.20.6
34.735.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
1732
Unranked
29.30.9
30.129.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1018
Unranked
23.30.6
24.825.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
910
Unranked
26.20.9
27.026.2
Auto
Teleop
End