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Red125
98751.0
6742.4
111457.1
Blue135
205652.8
21746.3
3344.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15314450100200125135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
Unranked
57.10.4
57.557.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
2056
Unranked
52.80.2
53.453.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
987
Unranked
51.00.4
51.451.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
217
Unranked
46.30.2
46.846.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
67
Unranked
42.40.4
42.842.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
33
Unranked
44.30.2
44.844.6
Auto
Teleop
End