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Red15
15783.8
333914.6
30838.3
Blue0
30632.0
33832.2
22176.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316020406080100150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.61.0
15.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
2217
#16
6.20.8
3.42.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3083
#18
8.31.0
6.45.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
3383
#33
2.20.8
2.92.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1578
#26
3.81.0
5.54.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
3063
#20
2.00.8
3.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End