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Red5
19520.2
2231-1.3
22165.4
Blue2
30755.6
37754.4
38355.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413010203040506052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2216
#29
5.40.1
2.12.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3835
#31
5.80.8
2.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1952
#43
0.20.1
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
3075
#32
5.60.8
6.05.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2231
#34
-1.30.1
2.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
3775
#28
4.40.8
4.03.1
Auto
Teleop
End