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Red45
30755.6
165716.0
15783.8
Blue3
3065-1.6
37664.1
19577.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17130406080453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1657
#14
16.01.9
11.113.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
1957
#13
7.60.7
8.67.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3075
#32
5.62.2
3.65.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
3766
#24
4.10.7
5.34.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1578
#26
3.82.1
1.43.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
3065
#39
-1.60.7
-0.6-1.4
Auto
Teleop
End