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Red3
33888.4
30841.7
33782.8
Blue27
22142.2
30838.3
16627.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1016020304050327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3388
#38
8.40.7
5.34.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3083
#18
8.30.9
6.67.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3378
#35
2.80.6
3.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
7.60.8
7.17.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3084
#37
1.70.6
2.31.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2214
#44
2.20.8
1.42.2
Auto
Teleop
End