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Red1
38271.7
3065-1.6
33683.5
Blue9
22126.9
15783.8
37664.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2191030405060708019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3368
#42
3.50.2
3.73.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
2212
#17
6.90.6
8.07.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3827
#48
1.70.3
2.01.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
3766
#24
4.10.5
4.54.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3065
#39
-1.60.2
-1.4-1.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
1578
#26
3.80.5
3.53.0
Auto
Teleop
End