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Red0
22176.2
26791.9
19440.8
Blue12
30522.5
15774.7
33586.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616010203040506070012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2217
#16
6.20.6
3.22.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3358
#15
6.00.2
3.93.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2679
#23
1.90.6
1.50.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1577
#19
4.70.2
6.46.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1944
#45
0.80.6
2.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3052
#47
2.50.2
4.54.2
Auto
Teleop
End