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Red53
193923.7
173031.4
287410.7
Blue15
35282.6
29968.4
17821.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3070204060801001205315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.42.2
10.712.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.0
2996
#37
8.40.4
6.26.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
23.72.2
13.315.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.1
3528
#41
2.60.4
2.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
10.72.2
2.24.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
1782
#51
1.30.4
1.72.1
Auto
Teleop
End