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Red2
35282.6
17852.2
23573.5
Blue0
198224.7
17771.9
20010.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111302030405060708020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2357
#28
3.50.8
2.82.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.2
1982
#20
24.71.0
5.54.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3528
#41
2.67.1
9.52.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1777
#40
1.91.0
4.83.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1785
#44
2.20.8
5.34.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2001
#53
0.51.0
2.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End