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Red54
173031.4
18023.9
29968.4
Blue7
17756.5
23532.6
21677.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2712020406080547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.42.4
14.316.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.6
2167
#33
7.90.6
5.54.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2996
#37
8.42.4
5.68.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1775
#47
6.50.6
8.37.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1802
#25
3.92.4
4.97.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
2353
#43
2.60.6
0.4-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End