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Red65
37988.4
181027.8
66211.5
Blue3
17375.4
18273.8
31728.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25160406080100653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.83.4
13.216.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.3
3172
#19
8.51.2
10.79.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
662
#14
11.53.4
4.88.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
1737
#49
5.41.2
4.73.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3798
#29
8.43.4
5.89.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
1827
#38
3.81.2
2.21.0
Auto
Teleop
End