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Red6
180611.7
17648.4
20082.0
Blue42
287410.7
17631.5
47622.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26220406080100642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#42
11.71.6
14.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
476
#4
22.21.6
13.214.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1764
#52
8.41.6
9.27.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
10.71.6
4.46.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2008
#50
2.01.6
1.2-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1763
#56
1.51.6
5.36.9
Auto
Teleop
End