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Red8
37643.5
289410.3
109815.0
Blue60
181027.8
52535.4
378414.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17270406080100860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1098
#22
15.00.9
9.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.3
525
#1
35.42.9
16.018.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2894
#39
10.30.9
6.25.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.5
27.82.9
6.39.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3764
#45
3.51.2
3.52.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
3784
#15
14.48.6
14.76.0
Auto
Teleop
End