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Red32
23532.6
17852.2
234519.2
Blue59
287410.7
171018.2
20082.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17180103040503259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2345
#17
19.21.2
13.314.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1710
#18
18.23.5
11.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2353
#43
2.61.2
-0.21.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
10.73.5
6.09.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1785
#44
2.21.2
4.45.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2008
#50
2.03.5
-0.43.1
Auto
Teleop
End