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Red20
37988.4
180611.7
23532.6
Blue64
198525.1
66211.5
378414.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2143060801002064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#42
11.70.3
13.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.3
25.12.0
21.123.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3798
#29
8.40.3
9.28.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
3784
#15
14.42.0
9.711.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2353
#43
2.60.3
1.00.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
662
#14
11.52.0
9.011.0
Auto
Teleop
End