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Red30
17648.4
17852.2
17756.5
Blue56
17234.1
24570.6
181027.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2223010304050603056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#52
8.40.6
6.87.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.5
27.82.8
19.222.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1775
#47
6.50.6
10.210.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1723
#54
4.12.8
1.64.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1785
#44
2.20.6
5.66.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2457
#35
0.62.8
1.44.2
Auto
Teleop
End