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Red0
17821.3
21677.9
17631.5
Blue3
17695.5
19974.3
23532.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151002040608010003

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2167
#33
7.91.2
4.12.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1769
#34
5.50.6
3.02.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1763
#56
1.51.2
7.26.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1997
#26
4.30.6
5.54.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1782
#51
1.31.2
2.91.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2353
#43
2.60.6
1.91.2
Auto
Teleop
End